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BC could nearly wipe out COVID-19 by September with 70% contact rate and high vaccine uptake | FULL

CA, 11 Jun 2021
Provincial modelling shows British Columbia could nearly wipe out COVID-19 by September if vaccination uptake for second doses is high and personal interactions remain well below pre-pandemic levels.

According to the data presented Thursday by provincial health officer Dr. Bonnie Henry, a 70-per-cent interaction rate, combined with high vaccine uptake, would mean close to zero new cases a day by the beginning of that month.

In comparison, lower vaccine uptake and an 80-per-cent interaction rate, B.C. would likely record 200 new COVID-19 cases a day at the beginning of September.

The virus reproductive rate continues to plummet, now well below 1.0 in all of the health authorities. The provincial average is between .57 and .63. That means that for every 100 cases, only 57 to 63 will be passed on to someone else.

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